DWM Strategy in Uncertain Times
It’s true we are currently living in unprecedented times; who would’ve ever thought this type of pandemic would cripple the United States and the global economy. Today’s conditions are unique.
In these unique times, one must have a research process in place that provides a framework for investment that helps identify strategies that will be effective on an intermediate and long-term basis. We believe our process for conducting research at DWM is exactly what is needed in times of uncertainty.
Our process has been developed over many decades and includes the following components:
- Fundamental analysis: examining cash flow (both short and long-term) and its relationship to current and future share prices.
- Theme analysis: identifying areas in the economy that likely will encounter headwinds to avoid these problematic sectors. Additionally, seeking areas of the economy that will enjoy tailwinds and environmental conditions that support the future prospects of the business.
- Economic analysis: examining economic conditions and making judgments about the future relative to economic growth, unemployment, interest rate levels, and other economic data.
We believe a strategy that is rooted in analyzing companies’ cash flow as well as external conditions gives investors the best opportunity for success on a long-term basis. We adjust portfolios incrementally as short-term conditions merit AND modify portfolios long-term based on expected outcomes. Long-term matters the most, but we don’t ignore short-term conditions.
I recently recorded a video that outlines in general our investment philosophy. You can find that link here.
Our process is dynamic and our entire research staff is constantly on the watch for trends and opportunities. This includes our research analysts, portfolio managers, and trading team. You can be assured in this uncertain time we are active in monitoring positions and future opportunities/risks.